An economist, Dr Muda Yusuf, has advised the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to resist the urge to further tighten the country’s monetary policy tools in a bid to tame inflation.
Yusuf said this while reacting to the November inflation rate of 21.47 per cent as released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Thursday in Lagos.
The headline inflation accelerated to 21.47 per cent in November as against 21.09 per cent in October.
On a month-on-month basis, food inflation grew by 1.4 per cent compared to 1.23 per cent in October while core inflation similarly spiraled to 18.24 per cent from 17.76 per cent in October.
According to Yusuf, deployment of monetary tightening tools should be put on pause because the Nigerian economy is not a credit driven economy.
This reason, he explained, was why the outcomes of previous deployments has been inconsequential as a tool to tame inflation.
Yusuf, also founder, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprises (CPPE) stated that as at Oct. 2022, credit to the private sector as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was 22.7 per cent in Nigeria.
He noted that of other countries were 32 per cent in Kenya; 96 per cent in Morocco; 193 per cent in Japan; 143 per cent in United Kingdom; 216 per cent in the United States; and 39 per cent was average for sub-Sahara Africa.
“This underscores the need for variabilities in policy responses.
“Inflation had been spiking in spite of the serial monetary tightening.
“Sustained tightening penalises entrepreneurs [especially the real sector], increases cost of credit with heightened prospects of a backlash on growth.
“Inflation restraining strategies should accordingly focus on productivity boosting supply side factors and reduction in ways and means funding of deficit,” he said.
Mr Segun Kuti-George, former Chairman, Nigerian Association of Small Scale Industrialists (NASSI), noted that the inflation rates were untrue and not reflective of the current realities at the markets.
According to him, inflation in Nigeria cannot be less than 50 per cent, seeing that with each passing day, the prices of items soar.
Kuti-George attributed the country’s inflationary pressures to its dependence on exports for production and consumption which in turn out pressure on the Naira and devalued it.
He stressed the need to support the manufacturing sector more by creating a special funding window not just for big organisations but for very small businesses.
“Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) in Nigeria are about 90 per cent, accounting for majority of the employment, and quota to GDP.
“Windows must be opened to small businesses with the issue of collateral deemphasised as we need to take more risks on our people.
“There’s is also need to create more grants than loans to give start ups the soft takeoff required to produce more, creat more, employ more and grow the economy,” he said.
He also stressed the need for the reorientation of Nigerians to drive the acceptability of made in Nigeria goods and services.
